NFL
Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET3m agoBest Props →
Heavy Money
84%
The big money is on KC -10.5: 84% of dollars, 64% of bets.
| Side | # % | $ % | Diff | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC # $ | 64% | 84% | +20% | -113 |
| MIA # $ | 36% | 16% | -20% | +113 |
No signal: System Play, Sharp Signal, Analysts.
EV
True Price vs the best price available anywhere. EV is your expected return on the bet.
Heavy Money
How much money is on a side versus how many bets are on it. The gap is the read.
Sharp Signal
Top-decile Polymarket wallets, scored vs closing price -- entries and exits both count. Public data, check it yourself.
System Play
The public is on one side, the money is on the other, and the line followed the money.
Trends
Favors MIAATSnamed game
Teams that started 0-2 both straight up and against the spread, playing as underdogs in Week 3 against an opponent that has a straight-up or ATS win
28-14 (67%)
41.1K views · 218 likes · 24 reposts
@ActionNetworkHQ · Source ↗
Favors MIA · Patrick Mahomes-led Chiefs as a double-digit road favorite (fade them ATS)
13.8K views · @ActionNetworkHQ
Favors MIA · Double-digit underdogs coming off a game where they failed to cover as a double-digit underdog
11.2K views · @Bet_Labs
Favors MIA · Week 3 underdogs that started 0-2 both straight up and against the spread, facing an opponent with at least one straight-up or ATS win
8.6K views · @ActionNetworkHQ
| Venue | KC spread | MIA spread | Over | Under | KC ML | MIA ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAKalshi | -10.5 -113 | +10.5 +113 | 46.5 +108 | 46.5 -108 | -614 | +567 |
| POPolymarket | -10.5 -108 | +10.5 +108 | 46.5 +104 | 46.5 -104 | -614 | – |
| DRDraftKings | -10.5 -115 | +10.5 -105 | 46.5 -105 | 46.5 -115 | -650 | +470 |
| FAFanDuel | -10.5 -115 | +10.5 -105 | 45.5 -115 | 45.5 -105 | -720 | +520 |
| BEBetMGM | -11.5 -108 | +11.5 -110 | 46 -108 | 46 -110 | -650 | +500 |
| CACaesars | -11.5 -109 | +11.5 -109 | 46 -109 | 46 -110 | -675 | +475 |
| FAFanatics | -11.5 -110 | +11.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | -700 | +500 |
| BEBetRivers | -11.5 -110 | +11.5 -110 | 46 -112 | 46 -109 | -770 | +500 |
How the market’s number has moved. Book overlay arrives as book history accumulates.
Heavy Money
82%
The big money is on Over 46.5: 82% of dollars, 30% of bets.
| Side | # % | $ % | Diff | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| over # $ | 30% | 82% | +52% | +108 |
| under # $ | 70% | 18% | -52% | – |
Trends
28-14
Teams that started 0-2 both straight up and against the spread, playing as underdogs in Week 3 against an opponent that has a straight-up or ATS win (28-14) favors MIA +10.5, via @ActionNetworkHQ.
41.1K views · 218 likes · 24 reposts
ActionNetworkHQ -- @ActionNetworkHQ ↗4 more trends on this game, by popularity.
See all in Trends ↓EV
+13.5%
Under 46.5 at +127 is a +13.5% EV bet.
| Side | True Price | Best price | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 44.5 | -100 | +127 (Polymarket) | +13.5% |
| Over 46 | -100 | -108 (BetMGM) | -3.7% |
A system or trend from a named source, with its record, favoring a side.
Analysts
Named analysts across the web, extracted verbatim. Fires when they agree.
Favors MIA · Underdogs of 8 or more points
42.4K views · @Bet_Labs