NFL
Sun, Sep 27, 4:25 PM ET4m agoBest Props →
Heavy Money
77%
The big money is on BAL -3.5: 77% of dollars, 60% of bets.
| Side | # % | $ % | Diff | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL # $ | 60% | 77% | +17% | +104 |
| DAL # $ | 40% | 23% | -17% | -104 |
No signal: System Play, Sharp Signal, Trends.
EV
True Price vs the best price available anywhere. EV is your expected return on the bet.
Heavy Money
How much money is on a side versus how many bets are on it. The gap is the read.
Sharp Signal
Top-decile Polymarket wallets, scored vs closing price -- entries and exits both count. Public data, check it yourself.
System Play
The public is on one side, the money is on the other, and the line followed the money.
Trends
No trends attached to this game yet.
| Venue | BAL spread | DAL spread | Over | Under | BAL ML | DAL ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAKalshi | -3.5 +104 | +3.5 -104 | 52.5 -108 | 52.5 +108 | -170 | +163 |
| POPolymarket | -3.5 +104 | +3.5 -104 | 52.5 -104 | 52.5 +104 | -170 | – |
| DRDraftKings | -3.5 -110 | +3.5 -110 | 52.5 -112 | 52.5 -108 | -180 | +150 |
| FAFanDuel | -3.5 -102 | +3.5 -120 | 52.5 -106 | 52.5 -114 | -178 | +150 |
| BEBetMGM | -3.5 -105 | +3.5 -112 | 52.5 -108 | 52.5 -110 | -190 | +155 |
| CACaesars | -3.5 -106 | +3.5 -114 | 52.5 -113 | 52.5 -107 | -176 | +149 |
| FAFanatics | -3.5 -105 | +3.5 -115 | 52.5 -110 | 52.5 -110 | -190 | +155 |
| BEBetRivers | -3.5 -103 | +3.5 -118 | 53 -108 | 53 -113 | -175 | +138 |
How the market’s number has moved. Book overlay arrives as book history accumulates.
Heavy Money
89%
The big money is on Over 52.5: 89% of dollars, 76% of bets.
| Side | # % | $ % | Diff | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| over # $ | 76% | 89% | +13% | -108 |
| under # $ | 24% | 11% | -13% | – |
EV
+5.7%
BAL -3.5 at -105 is a +5.7% EV bet.
| Side | True Price | Best price | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL -3 | -117 | -105 (Fanatics) | +5.7% |
EV
+5.0%
Under 52.5 at +117 is a +5.0% EV bet.
| Side | True Price | Best price | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 51.5 | +108 | +117 (Polymarket) | +5.0% |
| Over 52 | -104 | -110 (BetMGM) | -2.1% |
Analysts
5 of 5
5 of 5 analysts on BAL ML.
Pete Prisco
“Baltimore suffered a bad home loss last week, but I think Jackson rebounds to lead the Ravens to a high-scoring victory.”
BAL ML 63¢Read at source ↗
Andrew Buller-Russ
“Both teams enter the game with a 1-1 record, but Minter, plus a healthy Ravens rushing attack led by Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson , will be too much for the Cowboys to handle in Rio De Janeiro.”
BAL ML 63¢Read at source ↗
Trevor Knapp· betting analyst
“Trevor Knapp is back with his favorite NFL moneyline picks for Week 3, including the Ravens taking down the Cowboys in Brazil.”
BAL ML 63¢Read at source ↗
A system or trend from a named source, with its record, favoring a side.
Analysts
Named analysts across the web, extracted verbatim. Fires when they agree.