NFL
Sun, Sep 27, 4:25 PM ET4m agoBest Props →
Heavy Money
76%
The big money is on LV ML: 76% of dollars, 72% of bets.
| Side | # % | $ % | Diff | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LV # $ | 72% | 76% | +4% | +156 |
| NO # $ | 28% | 24% | -4% | -156 |
No signal: System Play, Sharp Signal, Trends.
EV
True Price vs the best price available anywhere. EV is your expected return on the bet.
Heavy Money
How much money is on a side versus how many bets are on it. The gap is the read.
Sharp Signal
Top-decile Polymarket wallets, scored vs closing price -- entries and exits both count. Public data, check it yourself.
System Play
The public is on one side, the money is on the other, and the line followed the money.
Trends
No trends attached to this game yet.
| Venue | LV spread | NO spread | Over | Under | LV ML | NO ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAKalshi | +3.5 -113 | -3.5 +113 | 43.5 -100 | 43.5 -100 | +156 | -163 |
| POPolymarket | +3.5 -113 | -3.5 +113 | 43.5 -104 | 43.5 +104 | +156 | – |
| DRDraftKings | +3 +102 | -3 -122 | 43.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 | +154 | -185 |
| FAFanDuel | +3 -108 | -3 -112 | 43.5 -115 | 43.5 -105 | +144 | -172 |
| BEBetMGM | +3 -105 | -3 -125 | 43.5 -112 | 43.5 -108 | +150 | -185 |
| CACaesars | +3 -102 | -3 -118 | 43.5 -112 | 43.5 -108 | +147 | -173 |
| FAFanatics | +3.5 -120 | -3.5 +100 | 44 -110 | 44 -110 | +150 | -180 |
| BEBetRivers | +3 -106 | -3 -115 | 43.5 -114 | 43.5 -107 | +145 | -177 |
How the market’s number has moved. Book overlay arrives as book history accumulates.
Heavy Money
78%
The big money is on Over 43.5: 78% of dollars, 74% of bets.
| Side | # % | $ % | Diff | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| over # $ | 74% | 78% | +4% | -100 |
| under # $ | 26% | 22% | -4% | – |
EV
+11.0%
Over 43.5 at +117 is a +11.0% EV bet.
| Side | True Price | Best price | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44.5 | -104 | +117 (Polymarket) | +11.0% |
| Under 43.5 | +104 | +104 (Polymarket) | -0.4% |
Analysts
6 of 8
6 of 8 analysts on NO ML.
Ben Strauss
“The Saints will come out on top in this one thanks to an explosive offensive performance.”
NO ML 61¢Read at source ↗
Andrew Buller-Russ
“Yet, here’s where the Raiders’ win streak ends, but they’ll still put up a hard-fought game on Sunday.”
NO ML 62¢Read at source ↗
Mitch Moss· punditPodcast
“I also think they beat the Raiders Sunday as well.”
NO ML 63¢VSiN's Follow the Money · 24:08 ▶
Trevor Knapp· betting analyst
“Give me the Rrrrrraiders to pull off another road upset.”
LV ML 39¢Read at source ↗
Andrew Buller-Russ
“Maxx Crosby’s Three-Sack Game Helps Raiders Beat Saints”
LV ML 39¢Read at source ↗
A system or trend from a named source, with its record, favoring a side.
Analysts
Named analysts across the web, extracted verbatim. Fires when they agree.
Matt Johnson
“That’s not enough for Las Vegas to win in New Orleans.”
NO ML 62¢Read at source ↗
Matt Johnson
“We’re inclined to believe that regression is coming in Week 3 against the Saints and more losses will follow, but the fan base absolutely deserves to enjoy this undefeated start.”
NO ML 62¢Read at source ↗