NFL
Mon, Sep 28, 8:15 PM ET19m agoBest Props →
System Play
+20.7%
PHI ML: the public is on CHI, the money and the line went to PHI.
Money 88% PHI, tickets 68% · price 64 to 68
The public is on one side, the money is on the other, and the line followed the money.
Heavy Money
88%
The big money is on PHI ML: 88% of dollars, 68% of bets.
| Side | # % | $ % | Diff | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI # $ | 68% | 88% | +21% | – |
No signal: Sharp Signal, Trends.
EV
True Price vs the best price available anywhere. EV is your expected return on the bet.
Heavy Money
How much money is on a side versus how many bets are on it. The gap is the read.
Sharp Signal
Top-decile Polymarket wallets, scored vs closing price -- entries and exits both count. Public data, check it yourself.
System Play
The public is on one side, the money is on the other, and the line followed the money.
Trends
No trends attached to this game yet.
| Venue | PHI spread | CHI spread | Over | Under | PHI ML | CHI ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAKalshi | -5.5 +104 | +5.5 -104 | 41.5 +108 | 41.5 -108 | -223 | +212 |
| DRDraftKings | -4.5 -115 | +4.5 -105 | 41.5 -105 | 41.5 -115 | -225 | +185 |
| FAFanDuel | -4.5 -115 | +4.5 -105 | 41.5 -108 | 41.5 -112 | -235 | +194 |
| BEBetMGM | -4.5 -120 | +4.5 -110 | 41.5 -110 | 41.5 -120 | -235 | +190 |
| CACaesars | -4.5 -107 | +4.5 -113 | 41 -113 | 41 -107 | -230 | +189 |
| FAFanatics | -4.5 -115 | +4.5 -105 | 41 -110 | 41 -110 | -235 | +190 |
| BEBetRivers | -5 -108 | +5 -113 | 41 -112 | 41 -109 | -220 | +180 |
| CHI # $ | 32% | 12% | -21% | – |
Heavy Money
79%
The big money is on PHI -5.5: 79% of dollars, 77% of bets.
| Side | # % | $ % | Diff | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI # $ | 77% | 79% | +2% | – |
| CHI # $ | 23% | 21% | -2% | – |
Heavy Money
78%
The big money is on Under 41.5: 78% of dollars, 48% of bets.
| Side | # % | $ % | Diff | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| under # $ | 48% | 78% | +29% | – |
| over # $ | 52% | 22% | -29% | – |
EV
+24.8%
Over 41.5 at +144 is a +24.8% EV bet.
| Side | True Price | Best price | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 43.5 | -104 | +144 (Kalshi) | +24.8% |
| Under 43.5 | +104 | -102 (DraftKings) | -3.3% |
Analysts
4 of 6
4 of 6 analysts on CHI +5.5.
Anthony DeBando· punditPodcast
“So give me dub bears plus three and a half as my first bet that I made in week three.”
CHI SPREAD +3.5Ringer Wise Guys · 25:34 ▶
Drew Dinsick· punditPodcast
“I took plus three plus 101 with the Chicago Bears on Monday night football”
CHI SPREAD +3VSiN's A Numbers Game · 22:21 ▶
Sal Palantonio· punditPodcast
“I don't like the Eagles being favored on the road against the bears.”
CHI SPREAD +6.5VSiN's Follow the Money · 20:36 ▶
Jason Logan· betting analyst
“The half-point hook isn't ideal for Eagles -3.5 backers, but I'd lean toward Philadelphia at this point in the week.”
PHI SPREAD -3.5Read at source ↗
Sal Paolantonio· punditPodcast
“I don't like the Eagles being favored on the road against the Bears.”
A system or trend from a named source, with its record, favoring a side.
Analysts
Named analysts across the web, extracted verbatim. Fires when they agree.
CHI SPREAD +6.5VSiN's Follow the Money · 9:03 ▶