NFL
Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ETUpdated 5m ago
$1.1M traded
2 on CLE · 3 on NO · price moved
NFL · CLE @ NO · Spread
45% of the money on CLE +3.5, from 40% of the trades.
Kalshi 21c vs Polymarket 23c on CLE -5.5.
“The pick : Saints -3.5”
“The Saints are well rested coming off a bye.”
Trend favors NO
2 on CLE · 3 on NO · price moved
NFL · CLE @ NO · Spread
45% of the money on CLE +3.5, from 40% of the trades.
Information only. How We Score
| Venue | Money | CLE spread | NO spread | Over | Under | CLE ML | NO ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAKalshi | $986.3K | +3.5 -104 | -3.5 +104 | 42.5 -100 | 42.5 -100 | +156 | -163 |
| POPolymarket | $116.7K | +3.5 -104 | -3.5 +104 | 42.5 -100 | 42.5 -100 | +156 | -156 |
| DRDraftKings | – | +3 +100 | -3 -120 | 42.5 -108 | 42.5 -112 | +142 | -170 |
| FAFanDuel | – | +3 +100 | -3 -120 | 42.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | +144 | -172 |
| BEBetMGM | – | – | – | 42.5 -108 | 42.5 -110 | +145 | -175 |
| CACaesars | – | +3 +100 | -3 -120 | – | – | +145 | -173 |
| FAFanatics | – | +3.5 -115 | -3.5 -105 | 42.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | +145 | -175 |
| BEBetRivers | – | +3 -106 | -3 -117 | 42.5 -117 | 42.5 -106 | +145 | -180 |
Kalshi 21c vs Polymarket 23c on CLE -5.5.
“The pick : Saints -3.5”
“The Saints are well rested coming off a bye.”
Trend favors NO
6 on NO · 4 on CLE · price moved
NFL · CLE @ NO · Moneyline
True Price made CLE a +5.3% EV bet at +150.
Picked at -150, now -156.
Kalshi 56c vs Polymarket 58c on NO.
60% of the money on NO, from 26% of the trades.
Public: 75% of 11,254 trades on CLE.
“The Saints will do enough to win a low-scoring game.”
“Three of their five losses have come in one-possession games, but this time, the Saints will find a way to win.”
“PREDICTION: Saints 27 – Browns 24”
2 on Over · 1 on Under
NFL · CLE @ NO · Total
True Price made Over 42.5 a +5.1% EV bet at -100.
Kalshi 51c vs Polymarket 53c on Over 42.5.
95% of the money on Under, from 65% of the trades.
Public: 65% of 547 trades on Under 42.5.
2 on Under
NFL · CLE @ NO · Rushing Yards
“We will lean toward Cleveland, largely because of the young offensive weapons (KC Concepcion, Denzel Boston, Harold Fannin Jr., and Quinshon Judkins), but...”
“With the Saints' offensive line remaining depleted, the wrong team is favored in NOLA.”
“Jordan Dajani is taking the Saints to pick up their third win of the season.”
Not weighted: no NO record.
“I wanted to pick the Browns by a slightly larger margin, but because the Browns' victories this year have all been by 3 or 4 points only, and I could...”