NFL
Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ETUpdated 5m ago
83°F · wind 6 mph from N · 2% rain
$424.0K traded
5 on MIA · 3 on DET · price moved
NFL · DET @ MIA · Spread
How the market’s number has moved. Book overlay arrives as book history accumulates.
59% of the money on MIA +6.5, from 26% of the trades.
74% of tickets on DET. The line moved toward MIA, Pinnacle +7.5 to +6.
Kalshi 21c vs Polymarket 29c on MIA -2.5.
Public: 75% of 1,887 trades on DET -6.5.
“Give Miami credit for playing hard.”
Trend favors MIA
“The pick : Lions -6.5”
Trend favors DET
Not weighted: no DET record.
“Lions (-7) over Dolphins”
Not weighted: no DET record.
5 on MIA · 3 on DET · price moved
NFL · DET @ MIA · Spread
How the market’s number has moved. Book overlay arrives as book history accumulates.
59% of the money on MIA +6.5, from 26% of the trades.
Information only. How We Score
| Venue | Money | DET spread | MIA spread | Over | Under | DET ML | MIA ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAKalshi | $298.2K | -6.5 -100 | +6.5 -100 | 50.5 +104 | 50.5 -104 | -285 | +270 |
| POPolymarket | $125.9K | -6.5 -100 | +6.5 -100 | 50.5 +104 | 50.5 -104 | -285 | +285 |
| DRDraftKings | – | -6 -112 | +6 -108 | 49.5 -125 | 49.5 +105 | -298 | +240 |
| FAFanDuel | – | -6.5 -110 | +6.5 -110 | 49.5 -120 | 49.5 +100 | -295 | +240 |
| BEBetMGM | – | -6.5 -108 | +6.5 -110 | 50 -110 | 50 -108 | -295 | +240 |
| CACaesars | – | -6.5 -109 | +6.5 -110 | 50 -107 | 50 -113 | -290 | +235 |
| FAFanatics | – | -6.5 -105 | +6.5 -115 | 49.5 -115 | 49.5 -105 | -320 | +250 |
| BEBetRivers | – | -6.5 -115 | +6.5 -107 | 50 -110 | 50 -110 | -335 | +255 |
74% of tickets on DET. The line moved toward MIA, Pinnacle +7.5 to +6.
Kalshi 21c vs Polymarket 29c on MIA -2.5.
Public: 75% of 1,887 trades on DET -6.5.
“Give Miami credit for playing hard.”
Trend favors MIA
“The pick : Lions -6.5”
Trend favors DET
Not weighted: no DET record.
“Lions (-7) over Dolphins”
Not weighted: no DET record.
2 on Over · 1 on Under
NFL · DET @ MIA · Total
74% of the money on Over 50.5, from 71% of the trades.
True Price made Under 48.5 a +23.9% EV bet at +156.
Kalshi 86c vs Polymarket 91c on Over 36.5.
Public: 71% of 336 trades on Over 50.5.
6 on DET · 1 on MIA · +3c since pick
NFL · DET @ MIA · Moneyline
True Price made MIA a +9.2% EV bet at +317.
Picked at -335, now -285.
Kalshi 76c vs Polymarket 78c on DET.
Count less as more agree, under the market signals' weight.
“The Dolphins are going to get taken to school by Jared Goff, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, and Sam LaPorta.”
“DET moneyline”
“So this makes sense as a "use them now" pick, especially given the Dolphins don't have the passing game to take advantage of the Lions' primary defensive...”
3 on Under
NFL · DET @ MIA · Passing TDs
2 on Under
NFL · DET @ MIA · Rushing Yards
Not weighted: no DET record.
“I’m in the minority thinking Detroit rolls in Miami this week.”
“I think we get our first comfortable Lions win since the Cardinals game.”