NFL
Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ETUpdated 5m ago
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2 on Over · 1 on Under · price moved
NFL · NYJ @ KC · Total
79% of the money on Over 47.5, from 62% of the trades.
True Price made Over 48.5 a +4.5% EV bet at +113.
Picked at 46.5 -100, now 47.5 -104.
Kalshi 32c vs Polymarket 34c on Under 40.5.
2 on Over · 1 on Under · price moved
NFL · NYJ @ KC · Total
79% of the money on Over 47.5, from 62% of the trades.
Information only. How We Score
| Venue | Money | NYJ spread | KC spread | Over | Under | NYJ ML | KC ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAKalshi | $996.7K | +9.5 -100 | -9.5 -100 | 47.5 -104 | 47.5 +104 | +400 | -426 |
| POPolymarket | $151.3K | +9.5 -104 | -9.5 +104 | 48.5 +108 | 48.5 -108 | +400 | -400 |
| DRDraftKings | – | +9.5 -105 | -9.5 -115 | 48.5 -102 | 48.5 -118 | +400 | -535 |
| FAFanDuel | – | +9.5 -110 | -9.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 | 47.5 -110 | +385 | -500 |
| BEBetMGM | – | +9.5 -108 | -9.5 -110 | 48 -108 | 48 -110 | +380 | -500 |
| CACaesars | – | +9.5 -109 | -9.5 -110 | 48 -112 | 48 -108 | +380 | -500 |
| FAFanatics | – | +9.5 -110 | -9.5 -110 | 47.5 -115 | 47.5 -105 | +390 | -525 |
| BEBetRivers | – | – | – | 47.5 -112 | 47.5 -109 | +370 | -500 |
True Price made Over 48.5 a +4.5% EV bet at +113.
Picked at 46.5 -100, now 47.5 -104.
Kalshi 32c vs Polymarket 34c on Under 40.5.
7 on KC · 1 on NYJ · +2c since pick
NFL · NYJ @ KC · Moneyline
True Price made KC a +3.3% EV bet at -400.
Picked at -470, now -400.
Kalshi 80c vs Polymarket 82c on KC.
Count less as more agree, under the market signals' weight.
“Plus, with Kansas City’s ability to generate pressure and sack Geno Smith, we have the Chiefs coming out on top of a close game at home.”
“Expect KC to bounce back at Arrowhead.”
3 on NYJ · 7 on KC
NFL · NYJ @ KC · Spread
Kalshi 53c vs Polymarket 55c on KC -9.5.
45% of the money on NYJ +9.5, from 36% of the trades.
Count less as more agree, under the market signals' weight.
“Chiefs over Jets (+10)”
Underdogs of 8 or more points
“The pick : Chiefs -8.5”
3 on Under
NFL · NYJ @ KC · Receptions
“The Chiefs win it to break the losing streak, but the Jets and their offense hang around.”
“Pick: Jets Moneyline (+425 at DraftKings)”
“KC moneyline”
“It seems all but inevitable Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs will do the same at home.”
“This seems like the type of game in which the Chiefs could take out their frustrations on an opponent that does have some talent but has won only once since...”
“Patrick Mahomes doesn't need a perfect afternoon if Kansas City's defense forces long fields and limits the Jets' scoring chances.”
Trend favors KC
Not weighted: no KC record.
Trend favors KC
“Bet: Chiefs -9.5 (-110)”