NFL
Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ETUpdated 1m ago
71°F · wind 5 mph from NNW · 0% precipitation
No prop has a signal on it yet.
1 on Under · 3 on Over
NFL · LV @ SF · Total
91% of the money on Under 51.5, from 30% of the trades.
Over 51.5 at -100 is a +4.6% EV bet.
Kalshi 39c vs Polymarket 41c on Over 56.5.
Public: 71% of 630 trades on Over 51.5.
Count less as more agree, under the market signals' weight.
“After diving into all 15 games from the NFL Week 9 schedule, Cohen recommends backing San Francisco (-10, 52.5) to defeat the Raiders at the best betting...”
1 on Under · 3 on Over
NFL · LV @ SF · Total
91% of the money on Under 51.5, from 30% of the trades.
Information only. How We Score
| Venue | Money | LV spread | SF spread | Over | Under | LV ML | SF ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAKalshi | $813.3K | +9.5 -100 | -9.5 -100 | 51.5 -100 | 51.5 -100 | +376 | -400 |
| POPolymarket | $140.4K | +9.5 +104 | -9.5 -104 | 52.5 +108 | 52.5 -108 | +376 | -376 |
| DRDraftKings | – | +9.5 -105 | -9.5 -115 | 51.5 -120 | 51.5 +100 | +360 | -470 |
| FAFanDuel | – | +9.5 -110 | -9.5 -110 | 51.5 -120 | 51.5 +100 | +370 | -480 |
| BEBetMGM | – | +9.5 -108 | -9.5 -110 | 52 -108 | 52 -110 | +375 | -475 |
| CACaesars | – | – | – | 52 -107 | 52 -113 | +375 | -480 |
| FAFanatics | – | +9.5 -110 | -9.5 -110 | 52 -110 | 52 -110 | +360 | -475 |
| BEBetRivers | – | +9.5 -109 | -9.5 -112 | 52 -110 | 52 -110 | +380 | -530 |
Over 51.5 at -100 is a +4.6% EV bet.
Kalshi 39c vs Polymarket 41c on Over 56.5.
Public: 71% of 630 trades on Over 51.5.
Count less as more agree, under the market signals' weight.
“After diving into all 15 games from the NFL Week 9 schedule, Cohen recommends backing San Francisco (-10, 52.5) to defeat the Raiders at the best betting...”
6 on LV · 3 on SF · +1c since pick
NFL · LV @ SF · Spread
51% of the money on LV +9.5, from 51% of the trades.
Kalshi 8c vs Polymarket 13c on LV -7.5.
Count less as more agree, under the market signals' weight.
“Raiders vs 49ers prediction: Raiders +9.5”
“Cohen recommends backing San Francisco (-9.5, 51.5) to defeat the Raiders at the best betting apps, while the Over also hits.”
2 on LV · 3 on SF · +3c since pick
NFL · LV @ SF · Moneyline
True Price made SF a +6.5% EV bet at -335.
Picked at +317, now +380.
Kalshi 21c vs Polymarket 24c on LV.
Count less as more agree, under the market signals' weight.
“Mendoza will lead the Raiders to victory over a good San Francisco 49ers team that’s likely playoff-bound.”
“While Kirk Cousins has played well, the talent disparity is too overwhelming to ignore.”
No prop has a signal on it yet.
“The pick : Raiders +9.5”
“But the Raiders can move the ball and they're getting a lot of points.”
Underdogs of 8 or more points
“Las Vegas can score, but this is a favorable spot for San Francisco to build a double-digit lead.”
Favorites of 6 or more points
Not weighted: no SF record.
“The Niners are my preferred choice of the three.”