CFB
Sat, Sep 26, 3:30 PM ET20m agoBest Props →
Heavy Money
85%
The big money is on MISS ML: 85% of dollars, 85% of bets.
| Side | # % | $ % | Diff | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS # $ | 85% | 85% | – | – |
| FLA # $ | 15% | 15% | – | – |
No signal: System Play, Sharp Signal, Trends.
EV
True Price vs the best price available anywhere. EV is your expected return on the bet.
Heavy Money
How much money is on a side versus how many bets are on it. The gap is the read.
Sharp Signal
Top-decile Polymarket wallets, scored vs closing price -- entries and exits both count. Public data, check it yourself.
System Play
The public is on one side, the money is on the other, and the line followed the money.
Trends
No trends attached to this game yet.
| Venue | MISS spread | FLA spread | Over | Under | MISS ML | FLA ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAKalshi | +3.5 -113 | -3.5 +113 | 59.5 +104 | 59.5 -104 | +138 | -144 |
| DRDraftKings | +3 -105 | -3 -115 | 58.5 -115 | 58.5 -105 | +130 | -155 |
| FAFanDuel | +3.5 -120 | -3.5 -102 | 58.5 -115 | 58.5 -105 | +130 | -156 |
| BEBetMGM | +3 -108 | -3 -120 | 58.5 -112 | 58.5 -105 | +135 | -160 |
| FAFanatics | +3 -105 | -3 -115 | 59 -110 | 59 -110 | +135 | -160 |
| BEBetRivers | +3 -106 | -3 -118 | 59 -109 | 59 -113 | +140 | -177 |
EV
+11.0%
Over 59.5 at +117 is a +11.0% EV bet.
| Side | True Price | Best price | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 60.5 | -104 | +117 (Kalshi) | +11.0% |
| Under 61 | -100 | -110 (Fanatics) | -3.7% |
Analysts
5 of 6
5 of 6 analysts on MISS ML.
Matt Johnson
“It helps the Gators’ chances that Kewan Lacy (shoulder) is likely out, but we’ll pick the best player in college football to carry Ole Miss to a win in The Swamp.”
MISS ML 41¢Read at source ↗
John Adams, Knoxville News Sentinel· columnist
“Ole Miss 37, Florida 24: The Rebels could be set up for failure after an emotional victory over LSU .”
MISS ML 42¢Read at source ↗
Wes Reynolds· punditPodcast
“Gators for me, I played it on the money line”
FLA ML 59¢VSiN's A Numbers Game · 22:28 ▶
hndawg
“Kewan Lacy being banged up does give me pause, but I still think the Rebels get it done on the road.”
MISS ML 41¢Read at source ↗
Joey Hnath
“Kewan Lacy being banged up does give me pause, but I still think the Rebels get it done on the road.”
MISS ML 41¢Read at source ↗
Analysts
4 of 4
4 of 4 analysts on Over 59.5.
Matt Johnson
“Quite frankly, we think that mark could be surpassed in the third quarter.”
OVER 58.5Read at source ↗
A system or trend from a named source, with its record, favoring a side.
Analysts
Named analysts across the web, extracted verbatim. Fires when they agree.