MLB
Wed, Sep 23, 7:16 PM ET7h agoBest Props →
ATL -1.5
Final -- CIN 2-3 ATL
1%to cover
Over 7.5
Final -- CIN 2-3 ATL
1%to hit
Final: ATL won.
Heavy Money
72%
The big money is on ATL -1.5: 72% of dollars, 69% of bets.
| Side | # % | $ % | Diff | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL✓ # $ | 69% | 72% | +3% | -9900 |
| CIN # $ | 31% | 28% | -3% | +9900 |
No signal: System Play, Trends.
EV
True Price vs the best price available anywhere. EV is your expected return on the bet.
Heavy Money
How much money is on a side versus how many bets are on it. The gap is the read.
Sharp Signal
Top-decile Polymarket wallets, scored vs closing price -- entries and exits both count. Public data, check it yourself.
System Play
The public is on one side, the money is on the other, and the line followed the money.
Trends
No trends attached to this game yet.
| Venue | CIN spread | ATL spread | Over | Under | CIN ML | ATL ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAKalshi | +3.5 -9900 | -3.5 +9900 | 11.5 +9900 | 11.5 -9900 | +9900 | -19900 |
| POPolymarket | -1.5 +900 | +1.5 -900 | 6.5 +400 | 6.5 -400 | +669 | – |
| DRDraftKings | +1.5 -2200 | -1.5 +820 | 5.5 +298 | 5.5 -434 | +446 | -740 |
| FAFanDuel | +1.5 -3000 | -1.5 +880 | 5.5 +280 | 5.5 -420 | +440 | -700 |
| BEBetMGM | +1.5 -325 | -1.5 +240 | 5.5 +260 | 5.5 -350 | +425 | -625 |
| CACaesars | -1.5 +475 | +1.5 -850 | 5.5 -102 | 5.5 -128 | +460 | -900 |
| FAFanatics | +1.5 -1300 | -1.5 +650 | 5.5 +225 | 5.5 -330 | +340 | -500 |
| BEBetRivers | +1.5 -1000 | -1.5 +480 | 5.5 +180 | 5.5 -265 | +390 | -715 |
How the market’s number has moved. Book overlay arrives as book history accumulates.
ATL ML
Final -- CIN 2-3 ATL
100%to cover
Sharp
71%
12 of 17 scored wallets are net CIN ML, 71% of capped capital.
| wallet | score | side | size | last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5430…fbbb | Top 61% · n=58 | ATL✓ | S | 9/23/2026 |
| 0xd43c…8c63 | Top 46% · n=74 | CIN | S | 9/23/2026 |
| 0xf092…4eba | Top 36% · n=107 | CIN | S | 9/23/2026 |
| 0xc9cf…b443 | Top 32% · n=71 | CIN | S | 9/23/2026 |
| 0xbedb…6bc3 | Top 53% · n=51 | CIN | S | 9/24/2026 |
| 0x6027…4320 | Top 1% · n=52 | CIN | S | 9/21/2026 |
| 0x478e…5adf | Top 18% · n=63 | CIN | S | 9/23/2026 |
| 0xbf28…fee3 | Top 50% · n=219 | ATL✓ | S | 9/23/2026 |
| 0xef65…f32f | Top 51% · n=219 | ATL✓ | S | 9/23/2026 |
| 0x091a…8287 | Top 11% · n=51 | CIN | S | 9/23/2026 |
Scored on 51 resolved positions vs closing price. Polymarket only.
EV
+2971.1%
CIN ML at +9900 is a +2971.1% EV bet.
| Side | True Price | Best price | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | +223 | +9900 (Kalshi) | +2971.1% |
| ATL✓ | -223 | -500 (Fanatics) | -16.9% |
EV
+412.2%
ATL -1.5 at +880 is a +412.2% EV bet.
| Side | True Price | Best price | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL -1.5✓ | -108 | +880 (FanDuel) | +412.2% |
EV
+4807.2%
Over 6.5 at +9900 is a +4807.2% EV bet.
| Side | True Price | Best price | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 | +104 | +9900 (Kalshi) | +4807.2% |
| Under 7 | +104 | -102 (BetMGM) | -3.3% |
Analysts
5 of 5
5 of 5 analysts on ATL -1.5.
Ryan Minion
“With Atlanta being home and trotting out a superior pitcher, I like taking the Braves in the F5 and full-game runline.”
ATL SPREAD -1.5Read at source ↗
Malcolm Bamford· punditPodcast
“One team competing one team, not yet Atlanta team total, but I ran to Atlanta run line. I completely agree.”
“ton of easy ways for Atlanta to get on base. I like Atlanta minus one and a half.”
ATL SPREAD -1.5ATL SPREAD -1.5MLB Gambling Podcast · 29:37 ▶
A system or trend from a named source, with its record, favoring a side.
Analysts
Named analysts across the web, extracted verbatim. Fires when they agree.