MLB
Wed, Sep 23, 6:36 PM ET10h agoBest Props →
BAL ML
Final -- TOR 2-4 BAL
54%to cover
Final: BAL won.
Heavy Money
78%
The big money is on BAL ML: 78% of dollars, 47% of bets.
| Side | # % | $ % | Diff | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL✓ # $ | 47% | 78% | +31% | -113 |
| TOR # $ | 53% | 22% | -31% | +113 |
No signal: System Play, Sharp Signal, Trends.
EV
True Price vs the best price available anywhere. EV is your expected return on the bet.
Heavy Money
How much money is on a side versus how many bets are on it. The gap is the read.
Sharp Signal
Top-decile Polymarket wallets, scored vs closing price -- entries and exits both count. Public data, check it yourself.
System Play
The public is on one side, the money is on the other, and the line followed the money.
Trends
No trends attached to this game yet.
| Venue | TOR spread | BAL spread | Over | Under | TOR ML | BAL ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAKalshi | – | – | – | – | +113 | -117 |
| POPolymarket | -1.5 +186 | +1.5 -186 | 7.5 -104 | 7.5 +104 | +108 | – |
| DRDraftKings | +1.5 -206 | -1.5 +169 | 7 -122 | 7 +101 | +109 | -131 |
| FAFanDuel | +1.5 -210 | -1.5 +172 | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -115 | +108 | -126 |
| BEBetMGM | -1.5 +170 | +1.5 -225 | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -120 | +105 | -125 |
| CACaesars | +1.5 -213 | -1.5 +178 | 7.5 -104 | 7.5 -114 | +107 | -125 |
| FAFanatics | +1.5 -205 | -1.5 +165 | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -120 | +105 | -125 |
| BEBetRivers | +1.5 -205 | -1.5 +165 | 7.5 -106 | 7.5 -115 | +102 | -122 |
How the market’s number has moved. Book overlay arrives as book history accumulates.
Heavy Money
74%
The big money is on BAL -1.5: 74% of dollars, 60% of bets.
| Side | # % | $ % | Diff | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL✓ # $ | 60% | 74% | +14% | – |
| TOR # $ | 40% | 26% | -14% | – |
Heavy Money
66%
The big money is on Over 7.5: 66% of dollars, 38% of bets.
| Side | # % | $ % | Diff | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| over # $ | 38% | 66% | +28% | – |
| under # $ | 63% | 34% | -28% | – |
EV
+4.4%
Under 7.5 at +104 is a +4.4% EV bet.
| Side | True Price | Best price | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 | -104 | +104 (Polymarket) | +4.4% |
| Over 7.5 | +104 | +100 (BetMGM) | -2.3% |
Analysts
3 of 3
3 of 3 analysts on BAL ML.
David Racey· handicapper
“I am not sure what pitchers will start in either of these games, so I may change my opinion, but I will take the over in game one and the Orioles to win in game two.”
BAL ML 54¢Read at source ↗
A system or trend from a named source, with its record, favoring a side.
Analysts
Named analysts across the web, extracted verbatim. Fires when they agree.