Geoff Clark

“With Lamar Jackson officially ruled out due to an ankle injury, my Bengals vs. Ravens prediction backs Cincinnati to capitalize in today's pivotal AFC North showdown.”

“Under 42.5, down to 41.5, is my favorite pick in this game.”

“Even though I gave them out at +2.5 earlier this week , I'm still willing to trade the Cincinnati Bengals 51% moneyline , up to 53% , against the Baltimore Ravens .”

“I'd play Under 56.5 down to 55.5 , especially with 55 being a key number for college football totals.”

“I'm backing the Colorado Buffaloes +13.5 and would play them down to +12.5 .”

“I'm backing Tulsa to repeat and betting on a controlled, low-scoring affair in my Army vs. Tulsa prediction .”

“Give me the Under 224.5, down to 222.5 .”

“At 50.5, I'd play the Under down to 49.5 for a straightforward reason: neither team will have its starting quarterback , Oregon is also missing its leading receiver, and the Ducks have the best defensive unit on the field.”

“I lean toward the Oregon Ducks -9.5 and would play them up to -10.5 .”

“I'm going to lock in the Under 236.5, down to 234.5 .”

“I lean toward the Under 54.5, and I'd also play it at 55.5 , especially because 55 is a key number for college football totals.”

“As long as the Tulsa Golden Hurricane moneyline stays below 60% , I'm in.”

“Even without Kawhi and Ingram, I'm throwing the Over 225.5 into my three-leg combo because there are plenty of defensive weak links on both rosters.”

“I love the Sacramento Kings +5.5, down to +2.5 , because the Los Angeles Clippers shouldn't be laying more than one possession against anyone right now.”

“This is more of a fade of the Denver Broncos , but I'll invest in the Arizona Cardinals +4.5, down to +3.5 .”

“I lean toward the Under 43.5, playable up to 44.5 , especially because 44 is the most common number for NFL totals .”

“Give me the Cincinnati Bengals +2.5, down to a pick 'em , because death, taxes, and underdogs in AFC North games are the only sure things in this world.”

“I prefer taking Cincinnati against the spread, but the Under on 50.5 is tradable down to 49.5 .”

“My Thunder vs. Spurs prediction backs San Antonio to cover as a 2.5-point home favorite.”

“Ultimately, I'd invest in the San Antonio Spurs up to -3.5 at home over any team in the NBA.”

“I'd prefer the New York Knicks laying points, but I'll stick with them through 54%.”

“NBA Opening Night wraps up with a Western Conference Finals rematch, and my Thunder vs. Spurs prediction backs San Antonio as a 2.5-point home favorite.”

“The Cleveland Browns over the Tennessee Titans is a solid "contrarian pick" this week.”

“NFL Week 7 survivor pools present plenty of tempting favorites, but the Vikings stand out as the safest route.”

“Another "contrarian pick" is the Carolina Panthers over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who are probably starting undrafted rookie QB Jalon Daniels again.”

“The Denver Broncos over the Arizona Cardinals is a "safe option" worth considering.”

“A Tennessee cover should correlate with an ugly, lower-scoring game, so I'm pairing Titans +6.5 with Under 44.5 and RB Tony Pollard 60+ rushing yards.”

“My Cowboys vs. Packers moneyline pick backs Green Bay at home, where Jordan Love draws a dream matchup against the NFL's worst defense by EPA per play.”

“Houston ranks third in yards per rush allowed , and I'm also taking the Texans to win this game.”

“A couple of Cardinals touchdowns should be enough, as I'm expecting the Rams to put up points in the mid-30s.”

“As long as the Los Angeles Rams don't climb above -13.5, I'm laying it.”

“I love the Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2.5 down to a pick 'em in a sell-high spot against the Pittsburgh Steelers , who beat an overrated Indianapolis Colts team last week.”

“It's ugly, but I'd trade the Tennessee Titans +6.5, down to +5.5 , against the Indianapolis Colts .”

“Give me the New York Giants moneyline (50%) up to 55% because they have a better coach and defense than the New Orleans Saints .”

“As a zag on the obvious side of the total, I'm taking the Over 51.5, up to 52.5 .”

“Give me the Oregon Ducks -6.5, up to -8.5 , because this is a sell-high spot for the Nebraska Cornhuskers .”

“Even though the Utah Utes are much better on paper, I'm taking the Colorado Buffaloes +14.5, down to +13.5 , because Utah has beaten up on soft competition and Coach Prime had a bye week to get QB Isaac Wilson more comfortable.”

“I lean toward the Under 49.5, down to 48.5 , because Colorado averages just 10.3 points against Power 4 opponents, while Utah allows only 13 points per game.”

“I'd play the Over at any total below 51.5 .”

“I'm locking in a trade on the Indiana Hoosiers at +3.5 over the Ohio State Buckeyes and would play them down to a pick'em.”

“I'll take the Tulane Green Wave +6.5, down to +5.5 , over the Memphis Tigers because this is a big number to lay on the road in conference play, and Memphis hasn't done enough to justify it.”

“The Over 55.5, playable up to 56.5, is my favorite bet in this game.”

“Give me the New York Giants +1.5, down to a pick 'em , over the New Orleans Saints because the wrong team is favored.”

“I lean towards the Over 45.5, up to 46.5, because after his first start on a stormy Sunday in Week 3, New York QB Jameis Winston has been slinging it.”

“With two bad quarterbacks and rushing attacks that struggle to keep the chains moving, I can only look to the Under 44.5, down to 42.5, or pass.”

“If they keep Indianapolis RB Jonathan Taylor in check, I'll take my chances with Tennessee +6.5.”

“I can only lean toward the Over 51.5 up to 52.5 because I don't have much faith in Arizona's offense.”

“As long as the Los Angeles Rams -12.5 don't go above -13.5 , I'm down.”

“I lean toward the Over 40.5, up to 41.5, because 41 is the second-most key number in NFL totals.”

“I'm locking in a trade on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5, down to a pick 'em .”

“Maybe I'm taking crazy pills, but the reigning college football champion Indiana Hoosiers +3.5 are good down to a pick 'em over the Ohio State Buckeyes .”

“It's Over 50.5, up to 51.5, or pass because these offenses outmatch their defenses.”

“Otherwise, this is a great spot to back New England, which could be less popular since New York is coming off a win and sharps were picking the Jets to go Over their regular-season win total during the preseason.”

“That said, if you wanted to avoid picking the obvious options, consider the Buffalo Bills over the Las Vegas Raiders.”

“This is by far the best spot to use Los Angeles because Arizona is possible first overall pick in the 2027 NFL Draft bad.”

“With Lamar Jackson sidelined, my Ravens vs. Falcons moneyline pick backs Atlanta at a 64% Kalshi probability.”

“Since I have the Falcons winning and covering, there's also a world where the Baltimore Ravens abandon the run earlier than usual.”

“Since I have the Falcons winning and covering, there's also a world where the Baltimore Ravens abandon the run earlier than usual.”

“That creates more opportunities for Minnesota's attacking defense to contribute to the Over with a pick-six or strip-sack touchdown.”

“I'm using Minnesota's moneyline instead of the spread because I'd rather increase my combo's win probability than worry about the Vikings winning by margin.”

“I'm on the Minnesota Vikings up to -3 at the New Orleans Saints .”

“I have the Lions winning 29-20 , which gives them enough margin to cover while keeping the total comfortably below 54.5.”

“My Lions vs. Cardinals prediction is laying 5.5 points with Detroit, whose ferocious pass rush could turn Arizona's battered offensive line into a revolving door.”

“Give me the Mississippi State Bulldogs +6.5 down to +4.5 because their underlying numbers aren't much worse than the Alabama Crimson Tide's .”

“I have a slight lean to the Over 60.5, up to 61.5 , because I prefer the Bulldogs plus the points.”

“Even though they have a higher win probability, I marked the Baltimore Ravens as my "risky pick" because I lean toward the Tennessee Titans keeping it close and covering the spread.”

“My NFL Survivor picks focus on the Vikings and Ravens while avoiding riskier spots with Buffalo and Seattle.”

“My NFL Survivor picks focus on the Vikings and Ravens while avoiding riskier spots with Buffalo and Seattle.”

“I lean toward the Seattle Seahawks -6.5 .”

“The market is backing the Under, pulling the number down from a 44.5-point opener, which means I'm now leaning toward the Over 42.5 because I have the Seahawks winning 26-19.”

“This is my favorite angle in this matchup, with my projected score of Ravens 28, Titans 19 clearing the 43.5-point total.”

“The Tennessee Titans +11.5 are tradable down to +10.5 because the Baltimore Ravens' defense hasn't played well enough to justify laying double digits.”

“There is a little cushion on the Under 47.5 since I have the Chiefs beating the Raiders 25-21.”

“I lean toward the Las Vegas Raiders +4.5 because I made them +4 at home against the Kansas City Chiefs .”

“My Rams vs. Broncos moneyline pick backs Los Angeles straight up, with quarterback Matthew Stafford, head coach Sean McVay, and a deeper overall roster outweighing Denver's home-field advantage and elite offensive line.”

“I'm mixing Arizona's +4.5 first-half spread into my combo even though I lean toward the Niners covering their full-game spread.”

“Since I like the Rams to win outright, I'm expecting Denver to spend more time playing from behind, forcing Nix to drop back and pile up short completions.”

“I'm mixing Arizona's +4.5 first-half spread into my combo even though I lean toward the Niners covering their full-game spread.”

“Despite San Francisco 49ers All-Pro edge rusher Nick Bosa being ruled out , I still like the Under down to 46.5 in Week 4 against the Arizona Cardinals .”

“I'd trade New Orleans Saints -3.5 up to -4.5 over the Las Vegas Raiders .”

“I'm using NOLA's moneyline instead of the full-game spread in my combo because I prefer to increase the win probability over the payout.”

“I'm getting a good price for the Over when it should be at least 46.5 because three of their games have combined for 41 or fewer points.”

“Give me Under 52.5, and I'd go as low as 48.5 , since 48 is another important key number for college football totals.”

“The Texas A&M Aggies +8.5 are tradable down to +7.5 because this spread has moved too much from the offseason look-ahead of LSU Tigers -3.”

“I like the Iowa Hawkeyes down to +4.5 because head coach Kirk Ferentz's program is annually underrated, and Michigan Wolverines head coach Kyle Whittingham is in his first season in Ann Arbor.”

“This isn't my favorite pick because it's going to be nice out Saturday and the total is under 40, but I lean toward the Under 38.5, down to 37.5.”

“I feel the same about my Georgia Bulldogs -13.5 pick over the Oklahoma Sooners as I did when I gave it out earlier this week , and I'll trade Georgia up to -15.5.”

“The Under 45.5 is playable down to 44.5.”

“Give me the California moneyline up to 55%.”

“Clemson vs California Over/Under pick: Over 50.5”

“This is another fade of the market, with the Under 4 9.5 being playable down to its original number of 47.5.”

“I love the Indiana Hoosiers at -21.5 over the Northwestern Wildcats , and I'd be willing to trade Indiana up to its opening spread of -23.5 .”

“I'm sticking with the Chiefs and hoping my fellow survivor league entrants overthink this week.”

“It's South Carolina +11.5 or pass for me when it visits Alabama Saturday.”

“I lean toward the Over on 53.5, and the highest I'd go is 54.5 because of Alabama's offense, South Carolina's sketchy defense, and the injury situations for both teams.”

“I love the Georgia Bulldogs at -13.5 , but I'd be willing to play UGA up to -15.5 against the Oklahoma Sooners in Week 4.”

“I like the Under 45.5 , albeit a little less than UGA's spread, because 45 is the third-most important key number for college football totals .”

“I'm much more confident in Tennessee ATS, but I lean toward the Under down to 53.5, because 55 is the most important key number for college football totals.”

“Give me Tennessee down to +3.5 at home against Texas on Saturday.”

“My Week 3 NFL survivor picks and NFL picks spotlight the Giants as the top target against the Titans, while the 49ers offer another strong option.”

“My Week 3 NFL survivor picks and NFL picks spotlight the Giants as the top target against the Titans, while the 49ers offer another strong option.”

“I lean toward the Over 43.5 because this total should be 45.5 , and I have New Orleans winning somewhere around 27-20.”

“New Orleans is a 3.5-point favorite over Las Vegas for Sunday's 4:25 p.m. ET matchup at Caesars Superdome, and my Raiders vs. Saints predictions start with an early lean toward a Saints team that has impressed through two difficult matchups.”

“That combination has me leaning toward the Niners to cover the spread and Under 47.5.”

“That combination has me leaning toward the Niners to cover the spread and Under 47.5.”

“My Seahawks vs. Cardinals prediction backs the Under at State Farm Stadium tonight, when Seattle and Arizona kick off at 4:25 p.m. ET.”

“The Under 45.5 is the foundation, especially with Collins out and Joe Burrow listed as questionable.”

“I'd trade the Baltimore Ravens up to -9 (52%) because the Detroit Lions closed as -7 favorites vs. the New Orleans Saints last week, and Baltimore is at least 2.5 points better than Detroit on a neutral field.”

“I lean toward the Over as long as it stays below 60.5 because this quarterback matchup should produce fireworks.”

“Give me the Louisville moneyline to 58% because I'm more impressed with its 1-1 start than SMU 's 2-0 record.”

“I'm using Seattle's moneyline instead of -3.5 because Lock makes laying more than a field goal tougher to justify.”

“Seahawks vs Cardinals prediction: Under 41.5”

“Saints vs Ravens prediction: Ravens -8.5”

“The Bucs don't have many layups down the road, so I see good value in Tampa in Week 2.”

“This is the best spot to use the Bucs because this is their last "easy" non-division game of the season, and Florida's heat and humidity in September make it a difficult road trip.”

“This is more of a fade of the Titans than anything.”

“I don't mind going on the road in Week 2 if it means fading possibly the worst team in football.”

“Vikings vs Bears prediction: Bears -4.5”

“Miami vs Wake Forest Over/Under pick: Under 56.5”

“Who will win Miami vs Wake Forest: Wake Forest +20.5”

“Early Saints vs Ravens total pick: Under 46.5”

“Early Saints vs Ravens spread pick: Ravens -8.5”

“Early SMU vs Louisville spread pick: Louisville -1.5”

“Early SMU vs Louisville total pick: Over 59.5”

“That said, the San Francisco 49ers to beat the Miami Dolphins is my favorite early look for Week 2.”

“I'd buy the San Francisco 49ers up to -16.5 because they had the most impressive win in the NFL last week, dogwalking the Super Bowl favorite Los Angeles Rams 27-7 in Australia.”

“Give me the Under down to 42.5 , which is a key number in the NFL.”

“Early Seahawks vs Cardinals spread pick: Cardinals +4.5”

“Early Seahawks vs Cardinals total pick: Under 41.5”

“Early Bengals vs Texans spread pick: Bengals +2.5”

“Early Bengals vs Texans total pick: Under 46.5”

“My Cardinals vs. Chargers prediction breaks down why L.A. can cover the hefty 9.5-point spread against the Arizona Cardinals behind Justin Herbert and a massive head-coaching advantage.”

“My Dolphins vs. Raiders prediction examines why Malik Willis and De'Von Achane can help Miami stay within the number as 3.5-point underdogs against Las Vegas at Allegiant Stadium (aka the Big Roomba) this afternoon.”

“Vikings -1.5 is one of my favorite plays of the week, and I expect Minnesota to strike first in front of its home fans.”

“I'm choosing the latter because the Buccaneers +3.5 is one of my best bets for NFL Week 1.”

“As a fan of their new coaching staff and a shareholder in QB Cam Ward stock, I expect the same old New York Jets this season, so I'm willing to take the Tennessee Titans -1.5 up to -2.5 in Week 1 .”

“The Chargers have a massive quarterback-coach edge and a dominant track record against weak opponents, making Los Angeles -9.5 an appealing Week 1 play against Arizona.”

“Dolphins vs Raiders prediction: Dolphins +3.5”

“For what it's worth, I prefer Kansas +5.5, down to +4.5.”

“But, between recency bias, first-year starting quarterbacks and the bright lights of a primetime game , I can only lean toward the Under in this game.”

“For what it's worth, my favorite Week 1 survivor pick is the Detroit Lions to beat the New Orleans Saints.”

“Early Cardinals vs Chargers spread pick: Chargers -9.5”

“Early Cardinals vs Chargers total pick: Over 47.5”

“Early Dolphins vs Raiders spread pick: Dolphins +3.5”

“Early Dolphins vs Raiders total pick: Under 40.5”

“Early Bills vs Texans total pick: Over 44.5”

“Early Bills vs Texans spread pick: Texans -1.5”

“Though prediction markets project a lopsided affair with the Boilermakers as 35.5-point favorites, my official Indiana State vs. Purdue prediction and college football picks are that the final score will finish below the total.”

“That said, I'm laying the lumber in my Toledo vs. Michigan State predictions since I have more faith in MSU's new head coach, Pat Fitzgerald, getting his guys ready for Week 1.”