Jason Logan

“I'm grabbing Jacksonville as low as I can, calling for this spread to go to -8 and beyond.”

“I like the Over before it hits the next key stop of 48 O/U.”

“Seattle ranks No. 2 in defensive DVOA , and its four-man front is the biggest reason I'm taking the home team to win outright.”

“Cowboys vs Eagles prediction: Eagles +4.5”

“If you read my Week 7 NFL Underdogs column, you know I grabbed Atlanta +3.5 earlier in the week.”

“With the Falcons now trading at +2.5, I see more worth in their outright price rather than taking less than a field goal (underdogs of +2.5 or shorter are 12-13 SU and ATS this season).”

“Seattle sits No. 2 in that popular advanced metric , and its four-man front is the reason why I'm taking the home team to win outright.”

“Prime-time pups are all the rage, so I'm avoiding laying the half-point hook on the field goal with the Chicago Bears and instead opting for the home team to win this one outright.”

“I expect Atlanta to own TOP and limit the Niners' time on offense.”

“What's more, if Joe Burrow and this explosive offense can get up on the Ravens, then Baltimore will have to abandon the run.”

“This is a massive matchup for Todd Bowles' job security and the half-point hook on the field goal seems too much for a divisional rivalry.”

“I like the Over with this total coming down from an opener of 48.5 and sitting between two key numbers at 47.5 O/U.”

“Early Rams vs Raiders spread pick: Raiders +4.5”

“I'm leaning Under the 49.5-point number.”

“I'd like more points with the home side but I'll lean ATL +3.5 early on, believing the 49ers could win this game but not cover that hook on the field goal.”

“I'll reluctantly lean toward the Dallas Cowboys because of the Philadelphia Eagles ' offensive issues, but I'll take them on the moneyline rather than at -4.5.”

“Early Cowboys vs Eagles total pick: Under 44.5”

“I'll lean to the home team with extra time to rest and prep on Sunday night, but wait and see if public perception offers a better price on Seattle later in the week.”

“The Seahawks aren't going to win a shootout against the Chiefs, so my moneyline lean ties directly into a lean to the Under 42.5 points.”

“Pick: 49ers Probability: 78%”

“I'm going to lean Under the taller total, given that the Bears can grind out gains on the ground and force Maye into some miscues.”

“Early Patriots vs Bears spread pick: Bears -2.5”

“I'm jumping on the Over for this sub-40 total, expecting more scoring from both sides.”

“The Giants don't stand much of a chance in Week 7, so I'm backing Houston against the spread before it ticks up further.”

“Our analysts have weighed in with their Cowboys vs. Packers expert picks , backing a big day through the air for Prescott, a touchdown for Tucker Kraft, the Over, and Green Bay on the moneyline.”

“Our analysts have weighed in with their Cowboys vs. Packers expert picks , backing a big day through the air for Prescott, a touchdown for Tucker Kraft, the Over, and Green Bay on the moneyline.”

“It's really Over or nothing when it comes to this total.”

“Pick: Broncos Probability: 44%”

“The Denver Broncos cover as short home pups.”

“Mix in a looming look-ahead spot for Mike Vrabel, with a short turnaround to play at Chicago on TNF in Week 7, and I'm going with Gang Green to keep things close for another week.”

“Early Ravens vs Browns spread pick: Ravens -4.5”

“Early Ravens vs Browns total pick: Under 41.5”

“I'm leaning Under but will wait to buy back a pending market move later in the week when Williams' health is clearer.”

“The markets usually indicate what's to come, so I'd lean Atlanta as a home underdog right now, but I'll wait to see if this spread climbs when and if Williams' status is official.”

“I'll lean toward the 49ers but would rather not lay the half-point hook on the touchdown, especially with injuries stacking up in the San Fran receivers' room.”

“Pick: Rams Probability: 61%”

“Early Cowboys vs Packers total pick: Over 52.5”

“Early Cowboys vs Packers spread pick: Packers +1.5”

“Early Seahawks vs Broncos spread pick: Broncos +2.5”

“Early Seahawks vs Broncos total pick: Under 42.5”

“I'm snatching it now at 50.5, just shy of the key O/U stop of 51.”

“Jason Logan is grabbing Kansas City now as well as this tall total in NFL Week 6.”

“This prime-time showdown is for the birds, and tonight's Ravens vs. Falcons prediction is that the visitors will cover the 3.5-point spread despite the market's growing love for the Atlanta Falcons.”

“I'll bite — give me the Ravens +3.5 with Tyler Huntley under center.”

“Our Ravens vs. Falcons expert picks are leaning toward Tyler Huntley and Baltimore to cover at the key number of +3.5.”

“Ravens vs Falcons prediction: Ravens +3.5”

“I don't want to dance around the half-point hooks, so my early lean is Rams to win outright.”

“I'm leaning Under 44.5 points early in the week.”

“Roll with the Eagles to stay undefeated.”

“Chicago's quarterback situation makes the Philadelphia Eagles my favorite ATS play of the week.”

“This total dropped from a lookahead of 44.5, but I still prefer the Under on Monday night.”

“I'm giving Vic Fangio the nod against a veteran backup.”

“I ' m taking Bears +4.5 under the assumption Case Keenum starts.”

“I'll be backing the Eagles at -4.5, as I price them closer to a 6-point favorite against the Bears.”

“I'm leaning Lions, especially below the undervalued key number of -4.”

“They'll do the "lion's share" of the scoring to get this Sunday night game Over the total.”

“Given the public perception and early moves across the industry, you'll want to get the home side short of a touchdown while you can.”

“This is a fast indoor track at the Superdome and prime-time totals tend to tick up, so take the Over now if you see plenty of points.”

“I'm leaning Under and would like it even more if that wet weather shows up.”

“Early Steelers vs Browns spread pick: Steelers -2.5”

“Patriots vs Jaguars prediction: Jaguars -2.5”

“My Ravens vs. Cowboys prediction weighs all the key factors for this non-conference international matchup, including why I'm expecting the Under to cash on Sept. 27.”

“Rams vs Broncos prediction: Under 44.5”

“Joe Osborne's expert pick: Under 44.5”

“Give me the Packers as 5.5-point favorites, as I price them closer to -6.5 in this matchup.”

“I see value in the road underdog to win outright.”

“They probably don't win, but they're not as bad as everyone believes — at least not +7.5 bad.”

“I'm not the only one buying back the Bucs, either.”

“They took the fight to heavyweights like the Lions and Ravens as big road underdogs but could come crashing back to earth against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 3 — especially with a letdown looming after the upset over Baltimore.”

“Short gains and two top defenses that don't allow many explosive plays lean into the Under 44.5.”

“My early lean is toward the Los Angeles Rams to win outright, but this won't be an easy outing.”

“I see this inflated line as a chance to buy back the home underdog facing a QB2.”

“I'd lean Under until we get a clear look at the injuries.”

“The half-point hook isn't ideal for Eagles -3.5 backers, but I'd lean toward Philadelphia at this point in the week.”

“My first trade of NFL Week 3 was the Jacksonville Jaguars -2.5 on Sunday night when odds opened across the industry.”

“Early Patriots vs Jaguars total pick: Under 44.5”

“Panthers at Browns Over 41.5: Trade Now”

“I like this home favorite below a field goal in Week 3.”

“Early Falcons vs Packers total pick: Under 44.5”

“Kalshi has half-point increments, which has me leaning to Atlanta Falcons +7.5 for an added cost.”

“With two run-centric offenses trying to grind out gains on the ground and control pace and clock, the Under holds the best value on Sunday Night Football.”

“With this number staying below the 7-point mark, I'm definitely laying the points with the Chiefs at -6.5 and 51%, as I make them closer to an 8-point favorite in this matchup.”

“Joe Osborne's expert pick: Under 46.5”

“Jason Logan's expert pick: Under 46.5”

“Commanders vs Cowboys prediction: Over 49.5”

“Colts vs Chiefs prediction: Under 46.5”

“New Orleans Saints +8.5 (at Baltimore Ravens)”

“Pittsburgh Steelers +5.5 (at New England Patriots)”

“Washington Commanders +4.5 (at Dallas Cowboys)”

“Early Jaguars vs Broncos total pick: Over 44.5”

“Early Jaguars vs Broncos spread pick: Broncos outright”

“That effort has the Chiefs laying 6.5 points at home to the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday Night Football in Week 2, and my early Colts vs. Chiefs prediction and NFL picks are high on that success continuing.”

“I'm going to lean toward the Under 47.5 points.”

“Early Giants vs Rams total pick: Over 48.5”

“Early Giants vs Rams spread pick: Rams -6.5”

“I'll take the Denver Broncos catching 2.5 points at 50%.”

“Joe Osborne's expert pick: Under 43.5”

“Give me Chicago below the key number now.”

“I'm leaning Under 49.5 O/U.”

“Early Commanders vs Cowboys total pick: Over 50.5”

“Early Commanders vs Cowboys spread pick: Commanders +3.5”

“This opened as high as 48.5 O/U on Sunday night, and there is value in taking the Under 47.5, given the importance of 46 and 47 as key numbers.”

“Josh Allen has been haunted by Houston in recent years but Jason Logan likes the Bills and Texans to top a low Week 1 total.”

“I'm taking the Minnesota Vikings to win outright at 53% and I'd lay anything south of 60%, as to avoid that tricky half-point hook on the spread.”

“Given we have two brand new defenses debuting and plenty of offensive playmakers, I like the Over 47.5 points.”

“Denver Broncos +2.5 (at Kansas City Chiefs)”

“That public appeal has a half-point hook bubbling up on the field goal, which I'll gladly take with Tampa Bay +3.5.”

“Patriots vs Seahawks prediction: Under 44.5”

“Early Cowboys vs Giants spread pick: Cowboys moneyline”

“Early Cowboys vs Giants total pick: Over 47.5”

“Early Patriots vs Seahawks spread pick: Seahawks -3.5”

“Early Patriots vs Seahawks total pick: Under 44.5”

“Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Early Patriots vs Seahawks spread pick: Seahawks -3.5”